#!/usr/bin/env python3 """Doppeltop / Doppelboden als SIGNAL — Backtest (2026-07-20, User-Idee „Muster- erkennung"). Das am saubersten mechanisch definierbare Umkehrmuster; nutzt die bestehende Pivot-Erkennung aus `structure.py` (kausal, Bar für Bar → Signal == was die Anzeige sehen würde). Definition: Doppeltop (→ SHORT): die letzten zwei Swing-HOCHS ~gleich hoch (|h1−h2| ≤ tol×ATR), dazwischen ein Tal (Nackenlinie) mind. `depth`×ATR tiefer; Einstieg wenn der Kurs FRISCH unter die Nackenlinie bricht (C[i] < neck ≤ C[i−1]). Doppelboden (→ LONG): symmetrisch (zwei ~gleiche Tiefs, Bruch über die Nackenlinie). Muster verfällt, wenn der Bruch nicht binnen `stale` Bars nach dem 2. Swing kommt. Sequentielle 1-Positions-Sim, Live-Exit (SL 2,0×ATR + Trailing 1,5 + BE 1,3), Echtkosten = Bar-Spread/ATR. M30, 2 Halbjahre. Maßstab: Squeeze ØR +0,14…+0,23 & PF>1 in BEIDEN Hälften. Verdict = beidhälftig robust über die Toleranz-Varianten. """ import sys import MetaTrader5 as mt5 from core.structure import _pivots _MAXH = 96; _ATRMIN = 0.06; _COOL = 3; _LOOK = 300; _STALE = 40; _DEPTH = 0.5 def _atr_series(H, L, C, p=14): t = [0.0] for i in range(1, len(C)): t.append(max(H[i]-L[i], abs(H[i]-C[i-1]), abs(L[i]-C[i-1]))) return [(sum(t[max(1, i-p+1):i+1])/max(1, len(t[max(1, i-p+1):i+1]))) if i else None for i in range(len(C))] def st(Rs): if not Rs: return None n = len(Rs); w = sum(1 for x in Rs if x > 0); s = sum(Rs) up = sum(x for x in Rs if x > 0); dn = -sum(x for x in Rs if x < 0) return dict(n=n, wr=100*w/n, oR=s/n, pf=(up/dn if dn > 0 else 9.99), sum=s) def line(lbl, s): if not s: return f" {lbl:<26} — (keine Trades)" return (f" {lbl:<26} n={s['n']:>4} WR={s['wr']:>3.0f}% ØR={s['oR']:+.3f} " f"PF={s['pf']:>4.2f} ΣR={s['sum']:>+6.0f}") def sim(entry, d, atr, H, L, C, j0): eff = entry - d*2.0*atr; hw = entry end = min(j0+_MAXH, len(C)-1); exit_px = C[end]; exit_j = end for j in range(j0, end+1): hj, lj = H[j], L[j] if (lj <= eff) if d > 0 else (hj >= eff): return (eff-entry)*d/atr, j hw = max(hw, hj) if d > 0 else min(hw, lj) prof = (C[j]-entry)*d if prof >= 0.3*atr: cand = hw - d*1.5*atr if prof >= 1.3*atr: cand = max(cand, entry) if d > 0 else min(cand, entry) eff = max(eff, cand) if d > 0 else min(eff, cand) return (exit_px-entry)*d/atr, exit_j def _neckline(pivots, i, atr, tol, want_top): """Prüft, ob am Bar i ein Doppeltop (want_top) bzw. -boden fertig ist. Gibt (True, neckline) zurück, wenn die letzten 2 gleichseitigen Pivots das Muster bilden. KEIN Bruch-Check hier — nur die Formation.""" kind = "H" if want_top else "L" same = [p for p in pivots if p[2] == kind] opp = [p for p in pivots if p[2] != kind] if len(same) < 2: return False, None p1, p2 = same[-2], same[-1] mids = [q for q in opp if p1[0] < q[0] < p2[0]] if not mids: return False, None # Nackenlinie = Extrem zwischen den beiden gleichseitigen Pivots neck = (min(mids, key=lambda q: q[1]) if want_top else max(mids, key=lambda q: q[1])) if abs(p1[1] - p2[1]) > tol * atr: # Schultern ~gleich hoch? return False, None depth = (min(p1[1], p2[1]) - neck[1]) if want_top else (neck[1] - max(p1[1], p2[1])) if depth < _DEPTH * atr: # echtes Tal/Berg dazwischen? return False, None if i - p2[0] > _STALE: # zu alt → verfallen return False, None return True, neck[1] def run(H, L, C, A, SP, lo, hi, tol): def cost(i, atr): return (SP[i] if SP[i] > 0 else 0.0225)/atr Rs = []; i = max(lo, _LOOK) while i < hi: atr = A[i] if not atr or atr < _ATRMIN: i += 1; continue piv = _pivots(H[max(0, i-_LOOK):i+1], L[max(0, i-_LOOK):i+1], 3) # Index-Offset korrigieren (piv-Indizes sind fensterrelativ) off = max(0, i-_LOOK) piv = [(idx+off, pr, k) for (idx, pr, k) in piv] d = 0; neck = None ok_t, neck_t = _neckline(piv, i, atr, tol, True) if ok_t and C[i] < neck_t <= C[i-1]: # frischer Bruch UNTER Nackenlinie d = -1 else: ok_b, neck_b = _neckline(piv, i, atr, tol, False) if ok_b and C[i] > neck_b >= C[i-1]: # frischer Bruch ÜBER Nackenlinie d = 1 if d == 0: i += 1; continue r, xj = sim(C[i], d, max(atr, _ATRMIN), H, L, C, i+1) Rs.append(r - cost(i, max(atr, _ATRMIN))) i = xj + _COOL return Rs def main(): n = int(sys.argv[1]) if len(sys.argv) > 1 else 60000 mt5.initialize() sym = next((c for c in ("SpotCrude", "USOIL", "WTI", "XTIUSD") if mt5.symbol_info(c)), None) bars = mt5.copy_rates_from_pos(sym, mt5.TIMEFRAME_M30, 0, n) point = mt5.symbol_info(sym).point; mt5.shutdown() H = [float(b["high"]) for b in bars]; L = [float(b["low"]) for b in bars] C = [float(b["close"]) for b in bars]; SP = [float(b["spread"])*point for b in bars] A = _atr_series(H, L, C); N = len(C); mid = N//2 print("="*90) print(f" Doppeltop/-boden als SIGNAL — {sym} M30 ({N} Bars, seq. Sim, Live-Exit, Echtkosten)") print(f" Einstieg = Nackenlinien-Bruch. Maßstab: Squeeze ØR +0,14…+0,23 & PF>1 BEIDE Hälften.") print("="*90) for tol in (0.3, 0.6, 1.0): s1 = st(run(H, L, C, A, SP, 0, mid, tol)) s2 = st(run(H, L, C, A, SP, mid, N-_MAXH-1, tol)) print(f"\n Schulter-Toleranz {tol}×ATR:") print(line("H1 (alt)", s1)) print(line("H2 (neu)", s2)) ok = (s1 and s2 and s1['oR'] > 0 and s2['oR'] > 0 and s1['pf'] > 1 and s2['pf'] > 1) print(f" → {'ROBUST (beide Hälften positiv)' if ok else 'fällt durch'}") print() if __name__ == "__main__": main()