#!/usr/bin/env python3 """Reversal-Setups mit ECHTER Exit-Simulation (SL 2,0×ATR, Breakeven 1,3, Trailing HW∓1,5×ATR) — zeigt, ob der antizyklische Einstieg den Gegenlauf vor der Wende überlebt oder vorher ausgestoppt wird. Vergleich zum normalen Signal. """ from __future__ import annotations import sys import MetaTrader5 as mt5 from core.analysis import calc_trend_angle from core.wave_rec import (WaveRecommender, _atr, _ema_last, _EMA_FAST, _EMA_SLOW, _N_BARS, _STRETCH_MAX, _HTF_DEADBAND, _ANGLE_DEAD) from backtest_exit import simulate, _ATR_MIN, _MAXH, _ema_series, _atr_series _LR = 14 class _NeutralTU: def snapshot(self): return {"intervals": {}} def _metrics(name, Rs): if not Rs: print(f" {name:<24} -"); return n=len(Rs); win=sum(1 for r in Rs if r>0) g=sum(r for r in Rs if r>0); l=-sum(r for r in Rs if r<0) pf=g/l if l>0 else 9.99 print(f" {name:<24} n={n:>4} Treffer={100*win/n:>3.0f}% Oe-R={sum(Rs)/n:+.3f} " f"Summe={sum(Rs):+.1f} PF={pf:.2f} Worst={min(Rs):+.2f}") def main(): n=int(sys.argv[1]) if len(sys.argv)>1 else 12000 if not mt5.initialize(): print("init",mt5.last_error()); sys.exit(1) sym=None for c in ("SpotCrude","USOIL","WTI","XTIUSD"): if mt5.symbol_info(c): sym=c; break sym=sym or "SpotCrude" bars=mt5.copy_rates_from_pos(sym,mt5.TIMEFRAME_M5,0,n+_N_BARS+_MAXH+5) m30b=mt5.copy_rates_from_pos(sym,mt5.TIMEFRAME_M30,0,n//6+400) mt5.shutdown() if bars is None: print("Bars fehlen"); sys.exit(1) T=[int(b["time"]) for b in bars]; H=[float(b["high"]) for b in bars] L=[float(b["low"]) for b in bars]; C=[float(b["close"]) for b in bars] mT=[int(b["time"]) for b in m30b]; mc=[float(b["close"]) for b in m30b] mh=[float(b["high"]) for b in m30b]; ml=[float(b["low"]) for b in m30b] mEf=_ema_series(mc,_EMA_FAST); mEs=_ema_series(mc,_EMA_SLOW); mATR=_atr_series(mh,ml,mc) def m30s(ts): lo,hi,idx=0,len(mT)-1,-1 while lo<=hi: md=(lo+hi)//2 if mT[md]<=ts: idx=md; lo=md+1 else: hi=md-1 if idx<_EMA_SLOW or mATR[idx] is None or mATR[idx]<=0: return 0 dd=mEf[idx]-mEs[idx] return 0 if abs(dd)<_HTF_DEADBAND*mATR[idx] else (1 if dd>0 else -1) w=WaveRecommender(_NeutralTU(),mt5.TIMEFRAME_M5) rev=[]; rev_long=[]; rev_short=[]; trend=[] for i in range(_N_BARS, len(C)-_MAXH-1): wc=C[i-_N_BARS:i]; wh=H[i-_N_BARS:i]; wl=L[i-_N_BARS:i] atr=_atr(wh,wl,wc) if not atr or atr<=0: continue ef=_ema_last(wc,_EMA_FAST); es=_ema_last(wc,_EMA_SLOW) stretch=(C[i-1]-es)/atr; ang=calc_trend_angle(C[i-_LR-2:i], _LR); ad=ang-90.0 a=max(atr,_ATR_MIN) # Reversal? d=0 if stretch<=-_STRETCH_MAX and ad>=_ANGLE_DEAD: d=1 elif stretch>=_STRETCH_MAX and ad<=-_ANGLE_DEAD: d=-1 if d!=0: R,_=simulate(C[i], d, a, 2.0, H, L, C, i+1, be=1.3) rev.append(R); (rev_long if d>0 else rev_short).append(R) continue # normales Trendsignal (mit M30-Filter) zum Vergleich rec,_=w._build(ef,es,C[i-1],atr,"M5",5,htf_trend=m30s(T[i])) if rec["signal"]!="WARTEN": dd=1 if rec["signal"]=="LONG" else -1 R,_=simulate(C[i], dd, a, 2.0, H, L, C, i+1, be=1.3) trend.append(R) print("="*72) print(f" Reversal mit ECHTER Exit-Simulation — {sym} M5 (SL 2,0 · BE 1,3 · Trail)") print("="*72) _metrics("Reversal gesamt", rev) _metrics(" Reversal LONG", rev_long) _metrics(" Reversal SHORT", rev_short) _metrics("Normales Trendsignal", trend) print("\n Oe-R = Ø/Trade in ATR · Worst = größter Einzelverlust (Gegenlauf/SL)") if __name__=="__main__": main()