#!/usr/bin/env python3 """Volatilitäts-Squeeze-Breakout (B2, User-Idee 'Breakouterkennung'): Struktureller Ausbruch aus einer KOMPRESSION — NICHT aus dem EMA-Trend. Setup: die Spanne der letzten N Bars (Box) ist eng relativ zum ATR (Squeeze); danach bricht der Kurs k×ATR über/unter die Box → Einstieg in Ausbruchsrichtung. Exit = live-Modell (SL 2,0×ATR + Trailing 1,5, Breakeven 1,3), pessimistisch. Kosten = echter Bar-Spread/ATR (Ø ~0,265). 2 Halbjahre. R = Profit/ATR. Kernfrage (B3): Trägt der SQUEEZE-Filter netto in BEIDEN Hälften — schlägt er den Ausbruch aus einer BELIEBIGEN Box (ohne Kompression)? Sonst raus. """ import sys import MetaTrader5 as mt5 _MAXH = 288; _ATRMIN = 0.12 _N = 12 # Box-Länge (Bars) = 1 h auf M5 _W = 24 # Fenster nach der Box, in dem der Breakout erfolgen muss (2 h) _COOL = 12 # Cooldown nach einem Trade (Bars) gegen Überlappung _K = 0.1 # Ausbruch k×ATR über/unter die Box-Grenze def _atr_series(H, L, C, p=14): t = [0.0] for i in range(1, len(C)): t.append(max(H[i]-L[i], abs(H[i]-C[i-1]), abs(L[i]-C[i-1]))) out = [None] for i in range(1, len(C)): seg = t[max(1, i-p+1):i+1] out.append(sum(seg)/len(seg)) return out def sim(entry, d, atr, H, L, C, j0, sl_atr=2.0, trail=1.5, trail_on=0.3, be_on=1.3): eff = entry - d*sl_atr*atr; hw = entry end = min(j0+_MAXH, len(C)-1); exit_px = C[end] for j in range(j0, end+1): hi, lo = H[j], L[j] if (lo <= eff) if d > 0 else (hi >= eff): exit_px = eff; break hw = max(hw, hi) if d > 0 else min(hw, lo) prof = (C[j]-entry)*d if prof >= trail_on*atr: cand = hw - d*trail*atr if prof >= be_on*atr: cand = max(cand, entry) if d > 0 else min(cand, entry) eff = max(eff, cand) if d > 0 else min(eff, cand) return (exit_px-entry)*d/atr def rep(name, Rs): if not Rs: print(f" {name:<32} -"); return n = len(Rs); w = sum(1 for x in Rs if x > 0); s = sum(Rs) up = sum(x for x in Rs if x > 0); dn = -sum(x for x in Rs if x < 0) pf = up/dn if dn > 0 else 9.99 print(f" {name:<32} Trades={n:>4} Treffer={100*w/n:>3.0f}% " f"ØR={s/n:+.3f} PF={pf:.2f} ΣR={s:+.0f}") def scan(H, L, C, A, SP, point, lo_i, hi_i, squeeze_mult): """Ein Durchlauf: sammelt R (netto) je Breakout. Rs_any = ALLE Box-Ausbrüche, Rs_sq = nur die mit Squeeze (Box<=squeeze_mult×ATR). i springt nach jedem Breakout um _COOL vor (Überlappungsschutz) — für beide Listen identisch.""" def cost(i, atr): return (SP[i] if SP[i] > 0 else 0.0225)/atr Rs_sq = []; Rs_any = [] i = max(lo_i, _N+15) while i < min(hi_i, len(C)-_MAXH-1): atr = A[i] if not atr or atr < _ATRMIN: i += 1; continue boxHi = max(H[i-_N:i]); boxLo = min(L[i-_N:i]); box = boxHi-boxLo squeezed = box <= squeeze_mult*atr hit = None for j in range(i, min(i+_W, len(C)-_MAXH-1)): up = boxHi + _K*atr; dn = boxLo - _K*atr if H[j] >= up: hit = (j, 1, up); break if L[j] <= dn: hit = (j, -1, dn); break if hit is None: i += 1; continue j, d, lvl = hit R = sim(lvl, d, atr, H, L, C, j+1) - cost(j, atr) Rs_any.append(R) if squeezed: Rs_sq.append(R) i = j + _COOL return Rs_sq, Rs_any def main(): n = int(sys.argv[1]) if len(sys.argv) > 1 else 80000 mt5.initialize() sym = None for c in ("SpotCrude", "USOIL", "WTI", "XTIUSD"): if mt5.symbol_info(c): sym = c; break bars = mt5.copy_rates_from_pos(sym, mt5.TIMEFRAME_M5, 0, n+_MAXH+30) si = mt5.symbol_info(sym); point = si.point mt5.shutdown() H = [float(b["high"]) for b in bars]; L = [float(b["low"]) for b in bars] C = [float(b["close"]) for b in bars]; SP = [float(b["spread"])*point for b in bars] A = _atr_series(H, L, C) N = len(C); mid = N//2 print("="*88) print(f" Volatilitäts-Squeeze-Breakout — {sym} M5 ({N} Bars · Box={_N} · Ausbruch={_K}×ATR)") print(f" Exit=live(SL2,0/Trail1,5/BE1,3) · Kosten=Bar-Spread/ATR · 2 Halbjahre") print("="*88) for label, lo, hi in (("H1 (alt)", 0, mid), ("H2 (neu)", mid, N)): print(f"\n{label}:") _, any_R = scan(H, L, C, A, SP, point, lo, hi, 99.0) rep("Ausbruch OHNE Squeeze-Filter", any_R) for sm in (2.5, 2.0, 1.5): sq_R, _ = scan(H, L, C, A, SP, point, lo, hi, sm) rep(f"Squeeze Box<={sm}×ATR", sq_R) print(f"\n Squeeze trägt nur, wenn ØR & PF in BEIDEN Hälften > 'ohne Filter' UND ØR netto > 0.") if __name__ == "__main__": main()