#!/usr/bin/env python3 """Range-Strategie messen (Track B, Echtkosten, 2 Hälften): Einstieg AM Level statt mit dem Trend, Ausstieg am gegenüberliegenden Level — und braucht es dann noch Trailing? Einstieg LONG: Kurs an Support S, P(Support bricht ABWÄRTS) < X (Level hält) → LONG. Einstieg SHORT: Kurs an Resistance R, P(R bricht AUFWÄRTS) < X → SHORT. P(break) aus dem kalibrierten Modell (engine._p_break), Merkmale in Bruchrichtung. Ziel = gegenüberliegendes Level. SL = Level ∓ sl×ATR. Exit-Varianten je Trade: FIX nur festes Ziel (Level-zu-Level), Stop fix FIX+TR Ziel + Trailing (nach Fortschritt Stop nachziehen) TRAIL nur Trailing, KEIN festes Ziel (= brauchen wir das?) Vergleich der ΣR (in ATR, Echtkosten) je Hälfte. Zeigt, ob Einstieg-am-Level trägt UND ob Trailing dort noch etwas bringt. """ import sys, math import MetaTrader5 as mt5 from core.wave_rec import (_EMA_FAST, _EMA_SLOW, _N_BARS) from core.engine import _p_break _ATRMIN=0.12; _PIV_K=3; _LOOKBACK=300; _MAXH=200 _SL_ATR=1.5; _TRAILON=0.3; _MULT=1.5; _BE=1.0 _PB_X=0.60 # Level gilt als "hält", wenn P(break) < X def _ema_series(v,p): k=2.0/(p+1); o=[]; e=v[0] for i,x in enumerate(v): e=x if i==0 else x*k+e*(1-k); o.append(e) return o def _atr_series(H,L,C,p=14): t=[0.0] for i in range(1,len(C)): t.append(max(H[i]-L[i],abs(H[i]-C[i-1]),abs(L[i]-C[i-1]))) return [(sum(t[max(1,i-p+1):i+1])/max(1,len(t[max(1,i-p+1):i+1]))) if i else None for i in range(len(C))] def sim(entry,d,atr,H,L,C,j0, target=None, trail=False): sl=entry-d*_SL_ATR*atr; hw=entry end=min(j0+_MAXH,len(C)-1) for j in range(j0,end+1): hi,lo=H[j],L[j] if (lo<=sl) if d>0 else (hi>=sl): return (sl-entry)*d/atr if target is not None and ((hi>=target) if d>0 else (lo<=target)): return (target-entry)*d/atr if trail: hw=max(hw,hi) if d>0 else min(hw,lo) profit=(hw-entry)*d if profit>=_TRAILON*atr: cand=hw-d*_MULT*atr if profit>=_BE*atr: cand=max(cand,entry) if d>0 else min(cand,entry) sl=max(sl,cand) if d>0 else min(sl,cand) return (C[end]-entry)*d/atr def levels(H,L,i): phis,plos=[],[] for j in range(i-_LOOKBACK+_PIV_K, i-_PIV_K): if H[j]==max(H[j-_PIV_K:j+_PIV_K+1]): phis.append(H[j]) if L[j]==min(L[j-_PIV_K:j+_PIV_K+1]): plos.append(L[j]) return phis,plos def collect(a,b,H,L,C,EF,ES,AT,SP,point): out={"FIX":[],"FIX+TR":[],"TRAIL":[]}; n_ent=0 for i in range(max(a,_N_BARS,_LOOKBACK), min(b,len(C)-_MAXH-1)): atr=AT[i] if not atr or atr<=0: continue atr=max(atr,_ATRMIN); cur=C[i]; cost=(SP[i] if SP[i]>0 else 0.0225)/atr phis,plos=levels(H,L,i) sup=max([p for p in plos if pcur],default=None) # LONG an Support for d,lvl,tgt in ((1,sup,res),(-1,res,sup)): if lvl is None or tgt is None: continue if abs(cur-lvl) > 0.15*atr: continue # nicht am Level # P(Level bricht in Bruchrichtung bd) — bd = -d (Support bricht abwärts) bd=-d mom6=(C[i]-C[max(0,i-6)])/atr*bd mom3=(C[i]-C[max(0,i-3)])/atr*bd wt=1.0 if (EF[i]-ES[i])*bd>0 else 0.0 dist=abs(tgt-lvl)/atr if _p_break(mom6,mom3,wt,dist) >= _PB_X: continue # Level bricht wahrscheinlich → kein Einstieg n_ent+=1 out["FIX"].append(sim(cur,d,atr,H,L,C,i+1,target=tgt,trail=False)-cost) out["FIX+TR"].append(sim(cur,d,atr,H,L,C,i+1,target=tgt,trail=True)-cost) out["TRAIL"].append(sim(cur,d,atr,H,L,C,i+1,target=None,trail=True)-cost) return out,n_ent def st(v): if not v: return "n=0" n=len(v); w=sum(1 for x in v if x>0) g=sum(x for x in v if x>0); ls=-sum(x for x in v if x<0) return (f"n={n:>5} WR={100*w/n:>3.0f}% Ø-R={sum(v)/n:+.3f} " f"PF={(g/ls if ls>0 else 99):>4.2f} ΣR={sum(v):+.0f}") def main(): n=int(sys.argv[1]) if len(sys.argv)>1 else 80000 mt5.initialize(); sym=None for c in ("SpotCrude","USOIL","WTI","XTIUSD"): if mt5.symbol_info(c): sym=c; break si=mt5.symbol_info(sym); point=si.point bars=None for req in (n,80000,60000,40000): bars=mt5.copy_rates_from_pos(sym,mt5.TIMEFRAME_M5,0,req) if bars is not None and len(bars)>2000: break mt5.shutdown() H=[float(b["high"]) for b in bars]; L=[float(b["low"]) for b in bars]; C=[float(b["close"]) for b in bars] SP=[float(b["spread"])*point for b in bars] EF=_ema_series(C,_EMA_FAST); ES=_ema_series(C,_EMA_SLOW); AT=_atr_series(H,L,C) mid=len(C)//2 print("="*88) print(f" RANGE-Strategie (Einstieg AM Level, P(break)<{_PB_X}) — {sym} M5 Echtkosten, SL {_SL_ATR}×ATR") print("="*88) for lbl,a,b in (("H1 (alt)",_N_BARS,mid),("H2 (neu)",mid,len(C))): d,ne=collect(a,b,H,L,C,EF,ES,AT,SP,point) print(f"\n{lbl}: {ne} Einstiege am Level") print(f" FIX (nur Level-Ziel) {st(d['FIX'])}") print(f" FIX+TR (Ziel + Trailing) {st(d['FIX+TR'])}") print(f" TRAIL (nur Trailing) {st(d['TRAIL'])}") print("\n Trägt Einstieg-am-Level, wenn FIX/FIX+TR in BEIDEN Hälften positiv sind.") print(" Trailing nötig? → nur wenn FIX+TR bzw. TRAIL klar über FIX liegt.") if __name__=="__main__": main()