#!/usr/bin/env python3 """Opening Range Breakout (ORB) als Auto-Setup-Kandidat (2026-07-17, Recherche): Box = Hoch/Tief der ersten K M5-Bars nach Session-Open; erster Ausbruch ±0,1×ATR über/unter die Box (Fenster W Bars) wird gehandelt — one-shot je Open. Struktur- Verwandter des validierten Squeeze (Box→Ausbruch), aber ZEIT-verankert. Opens in BROKER-Zeit (UTC+3, US-DST-gekoppelt → US-Open konstant 16:30): EU-Morgen 10:00 (≈ 09:00 Berlin) · US-Open 16:30 (≈ 15:30 Berlin). Exit = Live-Modell (SL 2,0×ATR + Trailing 1,5 + BE 1,3). Kosten = Bar-Spread/ATR. 2 Halbjahre. Maßstab: Squeeze (ØR +0,14…+0,23 in BEIDEN Hälften). """ import sys, datetime as dt import MetaTrader5 as mt5 _MAXH = 288; _ATRMIN = 0.12; _K_BRK = 0.1; _W = 48 # Breakout-Fenster 4 h def _atr_series(H, L, C, p=14): t = [0.0] for i in range(1, len(C)): t.append(max(H[i]-L[i], abs(H[i]-C[i-1]), abs(L[i]-C[i-1]))) return [(sum(t[max(1, i-p+1):i+1])/max(1, len(t[max(1, i-p+1):i+1]))) if i else None for i in range(len(C))] def st(Rs): if not Rs: return None n = len(Rs); w = sum(1 for x in Rs if x > 0); s = sum(Rs) up = sum(x for x in Rs if x > 0); dn = -sum(x for x in Rs if x < 0) return dict(n=n, wr=100*w/n, oR=s/n, pf=(up/dn if dn > 0 else 9.99), sum=s) def line(lbl, s): if not s: return f" {lbl:<28} —" return (f" {lbl:<28} n={s['n']:>4} WR={s['wr']:>3.0f}% ØR={s['oR']:+.3f} " f"PF={s['pf']:>4.2f} ΣR={s['sum']:>+6.0f}") def sim(entry, d, atr, H, L, C, j0): eff = entry - d*2.0*atr; hw = entry end = min(j0+_MAXH, len(C)-1); exit_px = C[end] for j in range(j0, end+1): hj, lj = H[j], L[j] if (lj <= eff) if d > 0 else (hj >= eff): return None if False else ((eff-entry)*d/atr, j) hw = max(hw, hj) if d > 0 else min(hw, lj) prof = (C[j]-entry)*d if prof >= 0.3*atr: cand = hw - d*1.5*atr if prof >= 1.3*atr: cand = max(cand, entry) if d > 0 else min(cand, entry) eff = max(eff, cand) if d > 0 else min(eff, cand) return ((exit_px-entry)*d/atr, end) def run(T, H, L, C, A, SP, lo, hi, open_h, open_m, K): def cost(i, atr): return (SP[i] if SP[i] > 0 else 0.0225)/atr Rs = [] i = lo while i < hi: t = dt.datetime.utcfromtimestamp(T[i]) if not (t.hour == open_h and t.minute == open_m): i += 1; continue if i+K+2 >= hi: break atr = max(A[i+K] or 0, _ATRMIN) # Floor wie live (Skip wäre Selektions- # Artefakt: H1 hat 81 % Bars unter 0,12 → sonst fällt der EU-Morgen weg) boxHi = max(H[i:i+K]); boxLo = min(L[i:i+K]) up = boxHi + _K_BRK*atr; dn = boxLo - _K_BRK*atr hit = None for j in range(i+K, min(i+K+_W, hi)): if H[j] >= up: hit = (j, 1, up); break if L[j] <= dn: hit = (j, -1, dn); break if hit is None: i += K; continue j, d, lvl = hit r, xj = sim(lvl, d, atr, H, L, C, j+1) Rs.append(r - cost(j, atr)) i = xj + 1 # one-shot je Open, weiter nach Exit return Rs def main(): n = int(sys.argv[1]) if len(sys.argv) > 1 else 80000 mt5.initialize() sym = next((c for c in ("SpotCrude", "USOIL", "WTI", "XTIUSD") if mt5.symbol_info(c)), None) bars = mt5.copy_rates_from_pos(sym, mt5.TIMEFRAME_M5, 0, n+_MAXH+30) point = mt5.symbol_info(sym).point; mt5.shutdown() T = [int(b["time"]) for b in bars] H = [float(b["high"]) for b in bars]; L = [float(b["low"]) for b in bars] C = [float(b["close"]) for b in bars]; SP = [float(b["spread"])*point for b in bars] A = _atr_series(H, L, C); N = len(C); mid = N//2 print("="*88) print(f" Opening Range Breakout — {sym} M5 (one-shot je Open · Exit live · Echtkosten)") print(f" Box = erste K Bars nach Open (Brokerzeit) · Ausbruch ±{_K_BRK}×ATR · Fenster 4 h") print("="*88) for lbl, lo, hi in (("H1 (alt)", 0, mid), ("H2 (neu)", mid, N-_MAXH-1)): print(f"\n{lbl}:") for name, oh, om in (("EU-Open 10:00 Brk", 10, 0), ("US-Open 16:30 Brk", 16, 30)): for K in (3, 6): s = st(run(T, H, L, C, A, SP, lo, hi, oh, om, K)) print(line(f"{name} Box={K*5}min", s)) print(f"\n Maßstab: Squeeze ØR +0,14…+0,23 & PF>1 in BEIDEN Hälften.") if __name__ == "__main__": main()