#!/usr/bin/env python3 """S/R-Close-Empfehlung messen (Track B): Lohnt es, am nächsten gegenüberliegenden S/R-Level zu SCHLIESSEN statt das Trailing laufen zu lassen? S/R = Pivot-Hochs/-Tiefs (k Bars beidseitig) der letzten LOOKBACK Bars vor Entry. Varianten (je LONG: nächster Pivot-High-Level ÜBER Entry als Ziel): V1 Close am S/R-Ziel, sobald Level ≥0,3×ATR über Entry (hart) V2 Close am S/R-Ziel nur wenn Level ≥1,0×ATR über Entry (nur „echte" Ziele) BAS Live-Exit (SL 2,0 + Trailing 1,5 + BE 1,3 + Lock) Kosten je Trade = echter Bar-Spread/ATR. 2 History-Hälften. Historie: Auto-Close an S/R wurde früher schon einmal verworfen; hier Neu-Messung mit Echtkosten. """ import sys import MetaTrader5 as mt5 from core.analysis import calc_trend_angle from core.wave_rec import (_EMA_FAST, _EMA_SLOW, _N_BARS, _ANGLE_LR, _ANGLE_DEAD, _REVERSAL_STRETCH, _STRETCH_MAX) _MAXH=200; _ATRMIN=0.12; _SL_ATR=2.0; _TRAILON=0.3; _MULT=1.5; _BE=1.3 _LOCK_START=3.5; _LOCK_SCALE=0.6; _LOCK_MIN=1.2; _TP_INIT=3.5 _PIV_K=3; _LOOKBACK=300 def _ema_series(v,p): k=2.0/(p+1); o=[]; e=v[0] for i,x in enumerate(v): e=x if i==0 else x*k+e*(1-k); o.append(e) return o def _atr_series(H,L,C,p=14): t=[0.0] for i in range(1,len(C)): t.append(max(H[i]-L[i],abs(H[i]-C[i-1]),abs(L[i]-C[i-1]))) return [(sum(t[max(1,i-p+1):i+1])/max(1,len(t[max(1,i-p+1):i+1]))) if i else None for i in range(len(C))] def pivots(H,L,i0,i1): """Pivot-Hochs/-Tiefs in [i0,i1) (k Bars beidseitig bestätigt).""" hi,lo=[],[] for j in range(max(i0,_PIV_K), i1-_PIV_K): if H[j]==max(H[j-_PIV_K:j+_PIV_K+1]): hi.append(H[j]) if L[j]==min(L[j-_PIV_K:j+_PIV_K+1]): lo.append(L[j]) return hi,lo def sim(entry,d,atr,H,L,C,j0, sr_target=None): """Live-Exit; optional zusätzlich Voll-Close bei Berührung von sr_target.""" sl=entry-d*_SL_ATR*atr; tp=entry+d*_TP_INIT*atr hw=entry; rank=0 end=min(j0+_MAXH,len(C)-1) for j in range(j0,end+1): hi,lo=H[j],L[j] if (lo<=sl) if d>0 else (hi>=sl): return (sl-entry)*d/atr if sr_target is not None and ((hi>=sr_target) if d>0 else (lo<=sr_target)): return (sr_target-entry)*d/atr # Close am S/R-Ziel if (hi>=tp) if d>0 else (lo<=tp): return (tp-entry)*d/atr hw=max(hw,hi) if d>0 else min(hw,lo) profit=(hw-entry)*d ph=0 if profit<_TRAILON*atr else (1 if profit<_LOCK_START*atr else 2) if ph=_BE*atr: cand=max(cand,entry) if d>0 else min(cand,entry) sl=max(sl,cand) if d>0 else min(sl,cand) elif ph==2: tm=max(_LOCK_MIN,_MULT*_LOCK_SCALE) cand=hw-d*tm*atr cand=max(cand,entry) if d>0 else min(cand,entry) sl=max(sl,cand) if d>0 else min(sl,cand) return (C[end]-entry)*d/atr def stx(v): if not v: return "n=0" n=len(v); w=sum(1 for x in v if x>0) g=sum(x for x in v if x>0); ls=-sum(x for x in v if x<0) return (f"n={n:>5} WR={100*w/n:>3.0f}% Ø-R={sum(v)/n:+.3f} PF={(g/ls if ls>0 else 99):>4.2f} " f"Worst={min(v):+.2f} ΣR={sum(v):+.0f}") def main(): n=int(sys.argv[1]) if len(sys.argv)>1 else 80000 mt5.initialize(); sym=None for c in ("SpotCrude","USOIL","WTI","XTIUSD"): if mt5.symbol_info(c): sym=c; break si=mt5.symbol_info(sym); point=si.point bars=None for req in (n,80000,60000,40000): bars=mt5.copy_rates_from_pos(sym,mt5.TIMEFRAME_M5,0,req) if bars is not None and len(bars)>2000: break mt5.shutdown() H=[float(b["high"]) for b in bars]; L=[float(b["low"]) for b in bars] C=[float(b["close"]) for b in bars] SP=[float(b["spread"])*point for b in bars] EF=_ema_series(C,_EMA_FAST); ES=_ema_series(C,_EMA_SLOW); AT=_atr_series(H,L,C) mid=len(C)//2; TH=_REVERSAL_STRETCH print("="*94) print(f" S/R-Close vs Trailing — {sym} M5 ({len(C)} Bars) Pivots k={_PIV_K}, Lookback {_LOOKBACK} ECHTE Kosten") print("="*94) for lbl,a,b in (("H1 (alt)",_N_BARS,mid),("H2 (neu)",mid,len(C))): base=[]; v1=[]; v2=[]; n_t1=0; n_t2=0 for i in range(max(a,_N_BARS,_LOOKBACK), min(b,len(C)-_MAXH-1)): atr=AT[i] if not atr or atr<=0: continue atr=max(atr,_ATRMIN); es=ES[i]; ef=EF[i] stretch=(C[i]-es)/atr ang=calc_trend_angle(C[i-_ANGLE_LR-2:i],_ANGLE_LR); ad=ang-90.0 d=0 if stretch<=-TH and ad>=_ANGLE_DEAD: d=1 elif stretch>=TH and ad<=-_ANGLE_DEAD: d=-1 elif abs(stretch)<_STRETCH_MAX: d=1 if ef>es else -1 if ef0 else 0.0225)/atr entry=C[i] phis,plos=pivots(H,L,i-_LOOKBACK,i) if d>0: cands=[p for p in phis if p>entry+0.3*atr] tgt=min(cands) if cands else None else: cands=[p for p in plos if p=1.0*atr) else None v2.append(sim(entry,d,atr,H,L,C,i+1,sr_target=tgt2)-cost) if tgt2 is not None: n_t2+=1 print(f"\n{lbl} ({len(base)} Signale · V1-Ziel bei {n_t1} · V2-Ziel bei {n_t2}):") print(f" BASELINE Trailing {stx(base)}") print(f" V1 Close@S/R (≥0,3×ATR) {stx(v1)}") print(f" V2 Close@S/R (≥1,0×ATR) {stx(v2)}") print("\n V gewinnt nur, wenn ΣR/PF in BEIDEN Hälften über der Baseline liegen.") if __name__=="__main__": main()