#!/usr/bin/env python3 """ATR-Breakout-Einstiegsfilter (= die Zwei-Konten-Idee auf EINEM Konto): Signal kommt → Trade erst eröffnen, wenn der Kurs k×ATR in Signalrichtung gelaufen ist (Bestätigung, 'X dynamisch'). Läuft er vorher k×ATR DAGEGEN → Trade verfällt. Vergleich gegen Sofort-Einstieg. Exit-Modell = SL 2,0×ATR + Trailing 1,5 (live), pessimistisch. R = Profit/ATR. Frage: Hebt das verzögerte Einsteigen den Edge (Qualität) genug, um den k×ATR- Mehrpreis + die verpassten Trades zu rechtfertigen? """ import sys, bisect import MetaTrader5 as mt5 from core.analysis import calc_trend_angle from core.wave_rec import (WaveRecommender, _atr, _ema_last, _EMA_FAST, _EMA_SLOW, _N_BARS, _HTF_DEADBAND, _ANGLE_LR) _MAXH=288; _ATRMIN=0.12; _CONFIRM_W=12 # max. Bars, um den Breakout zu bestätigen def _ema_series(v,p): k=2.0/(p+1); o=[]; e=v[0] for i,x in enumerate(v): e=x if i==0 else x*k+e*(1-k); o.append(e) return o def _atr_series(H,L,C,p=14): t=[0.0] for i in range(1,len(C)): t.append(max(H[i]-L[i],abs(H[i]-C[i-1]),abs(L[i]-C[i-1]))) return [(sum(t[max(1,i-p+1):i+1])/max(1,len(t[max(1,i-p+1):i+1]))) if i else None for i in range(len(C))] def sim(entry,d,atr,H,L,C,j0, sl_atr=2.0, trail=1.5, trail_on=0.3, be_on=1.0): eff=entry-d*sl_atr*atr; hw=entry end=min(j0+_MAXH,len(C)-1); exit_px=C[end] for j in range(j0,end+1): hi,lo=H[j],L[j] if (lo<=eff) if d>0 else (hi>=eff): exit_px=eff; break hw=max(hw,hi) if d>0 else min(hw,lo) prof=(C[j]-entry)*d if prof>=trail_on*atr: cand=hw-d*trail*atr if prof>=be_on*atr: cand=max(cand,entry) if d>0 else min(cand,entry) eff=max(eff,cand) if d>0 else min(eff,cand) return (exit_px-entry)*d/atr def rep(name,Rs,nsig): if not Rs: print(f" {name:<26} -"); return n=len(Rs); w=sum(1 for x in Rs if x>0) print(f" {name:<26} Trades={n:>5} ({100*n/nsig:>3.0f}%) Treffer={100*w/n:>3.0f}% " f"ØR={sum(Rs)/n:+.3f} ΣR={sum(Rs):+.0f}") def main(): n=int(sys.argv[1]) if len(sys.argv)>1 else 40000 mt5.initialize() sym=None for c in ("SpotCrude","USOIL","WTI","XTIUSD"): if mt5.symbol_info(c): sym=c; break bars=mt5.copy_rates_from_pos(sym,mt5.TIMEFRAME_M5,0,n+_N_BARS+_MAXH+5) m30=mt5.copy_rates_from_pos(sym,mt5.TIMEFRAME_M30,0,n//6+500) mt5.shutdown() T=[int(b["time"]) for b in bars]; H=[float(b["high"]) for b in bars] L=[float(b["low"]) for b in bars]; C=[float(b["close"]) for b in bars] mT=[int(b["time"]) for b in m30]; mc=[float(b["close"]) for b in m30] mh=[float(b["high"]) for b in m30]; ml=[float(b["low"]) for b in m30] mEf=_ema_series(mc,_EMA_FAST); mEs=_ema_series(mc,_EMA_SLOW); mA=_atr_series(mh,ml,mc) def m30s(ts): idx=bisect.bisect_right(mT,ts)-1 if idx<_EMA_SLOW or mA[idx] is None or mA[idx]<=0: return 0 dd=mEf[idx]-mEs[idx] return 0 if abs(dd)<_HTF_DEADBAND*mA[idx] else (1 if dd>0 else -1) class _TU: def snapshot(self): return {"intervals": {}} w=WaveRecommender(_TU(), mt5.TIMEFRAME_M5) sigs=[] for i in range(_N_BARS, len(C)-_MAXH-1): wc=C[i-_N_BARS:i]; wh=H[i-_N_BARS:i]; wl=L[i-_N_BARS:i] atr=_atr(wh,wl,wc) if not atr or atr<=0: continue ef=_ema_last(wc,_EMA_FAST); es=_ema_last(wc,_EMA_SLOW) a5=calc_trend_angle(C[i-_ANGLE_LR-2:i],_ANGLE_LR) rec,_=w._build(ef,es,C[i-1],atr,"M5",0,htf_trend=m30s(T[i]),angle=a5) if rec["signal"]=="WARTEN": continue d=1 if rec["signal"]=="LONG" else -1 sigs.append((i,d,max(atr,_ATRMIN))) nsig=len(sigs) print("="*82) print(f" ATR-Breakout-Einstieg — {sym} M5 Signale={nsig} Bestätigungsfenster={_CONFIRM_W} Bars") print("="*82) base=[sim(C[i],d,atr,H,L,C,i+1) for (i,d,atr) in sigs] rep("Sofort-Einstieg (Basis)", base, nsig) print() for k in (0.3, 0.5, 1.0, 1.5): Rs=[]; skipped=0 for (i,d,atr) in sigs: entry0=C[i]; level=entry0+d*k*atr; invalid=entry0-d*k*atr je=None for j in range(i+1, min(i+1+_CONFIRM_W, len(C)-_MAXH-1)): if d>0: if L[j]<=invalid: break # erst dagegen → verfällt if H[j]>=level: je=j; break # Breakout bestätigt else: if H[j]>=invalid: break if L[j]<=level: je=j; break if je is None: skipped+=1; continue Rs.append(sim(level,d,atr,H,L,C,je+1)) rep(f"Breakout k={k}×ATR", Rs, nsig) print(f"\n ØR = Edge je Trade (in ATR) · ΣR = Gesamtertrag · % = Anteil der Signale, die getradet wurden") if __name__=="__main__": main()