#!/usr/bin/env python3 """Momentum-Continuation als AUTONOMER Setup-Kandidat (2026-07-17): Einstieg in Richtung eines starken, frischen Momentum-Schubs (Kurs ≥ X×ATR über N Bars gelaufen) — Trend-Persistenz-Wette, andere Klasse als der Squeeze (Kompression→Ausbruch). Sequentielle 1-Positions-Sim (wie live), Exit = SL 2,0×ATR + Trailing 1,5 + BE 1,3. Entry = FRISCHER Schub (mom_N kreuzt X, war die N Bars davor drunter → kein Einstieg tief in einen ausgelaufenen Move). Kosten = Bar-Spread/ATR. 2 Halbjahre. Robustheit über N (6/12/24) × X (1,0/1,5/2,0). Automatisieren nur, wenn eine Kombi ØR & PF in BEIDEN Hälften klar positiv hält (Maßstab: Squeeze ØR +0,14…+0,23). """ import sys import MetaTrader5 as mt5 _MAXH = 288; _ATRMIN = 0.12; _COOL = 6 def _atr_series(H, L, C, p=14): t = [0.0] for i in range(1, len(C)): t.append(max(H[i]-L[i], abs(H[i]-C[i-1]), abs(L[i]-C[i-1]))) return [(sum(t[max(1, i-p+1):i+1])/max(1, len(t[max(1, i-p+1):i+1]))) if i else None for i in range(len(C))] def st(Rs): if not Rs: return None n = len(Rs); w = sum(1 for x in Rs if x > 0); s = sum(Rs) up = sum(x for x in Rs if x > 0); dn = -sum(x for x in Rs if x < 0) return dict(n=n, wr=100*w/n, oR=s/n, pf=(up/dn if dn > 0 else 9.99), sum=s) def run(H, L, C, A, SP, lo, hi, N, X): def cost(i, atr): return (SP[i] if SP[i] > 0 else 0.0225)/atr Rs = []; i = max(lo, N+1) while i < hi: atr = A[i] if not atr or atr < _ATRMIN or i-N < 0: i += 1; continue mom = (C[i]-C[i-N])/atr momP = (C[i-1]-C[i-1-N])/atr if i-1-N >= 0 else 0.0 # frischer Schub: jetzt |mom|≥X, letzten Bar noch drunter d = 0 if mom >= X and momP < X: d = 1 elif mom <= -X and momP > -X: d = -1 if d == 0: i += 1; continue atr = max(atr, _ATRMIN); entry = C[i] eff = entry - d*2.0*atr; hw = entry end = min(i+_MAXH, len(C)-1); exit_px = C[end]; exit_j = end for j in range(i+1, end+1): hj, lj = H[j], L[j] if (lj <= eff) if d > 0 else (hj >= eff): exit_px = eff; exit_j = j; break hw = max(hw, hj) if d > 0 else min(hw, lj) prof = (C[j]-entry)*d if prof >= 0.3*atr: cand = hw - d*1.5*atr if prof >= 1.3*atr: cand = max(cand, entry) if d > 0 else min(cand, entry) eff = max(eff, cand) if d > 0 else min(eff, cand) Rs.append((exit_px-entry)*d/atr - cost(i, atr)) i = exit_j + _COOL return Rs def main(): n = int(sys.argv[1]) if len(sys.argv) > 1 else 80000 mt5.initialize() sym = next((c for c in ("SpotCrude", "USOIL", "WTI", "XTIUSD") if mt5.symbol_info(c)), None) bars = mt5.copy_rates_from_pos(sym, mt5.TIMEFRAME_M5, 0, n+_MAXH+30) point = mt5.symbol_info(sym).point; mt5.shutdown() H = [float(b["high"]) for b in bars]; L = [float(b["low"]) for b in bars] C = [float(b["close"]) for b in bars]; SP = [float(b["spread"])*point for b in bars] A = _atr_series(H, L, C); N_ = len(C); mid = N_//2 print("="*84) print(f" Momentum-Continuation — {sym} M5 (seq. Sim · Exit SL2/Trail1,5/BE1,3 · Echtkosten)") print(f" Entry = frischer Momentum-Schub (mom_N kreuzt ±X×ATR). 2 Halbjahre.") print("="*84) print(f" {'N/X':>8} | {'H1: n ØR PF':>22} | {'H2: n ØR PF':>22}") for N in (6, 12, 24): for X in (1.0, 1.5, 2.0): s1 = st(run(H, L, C, A, SP, 0, mid, N, X)) s2 = st(run(H, L, C, A, SP, mid, N_, N, X)) def f(s): return f"{s['n']:>4} {s['oR']:+.3f} {s['pf']:>5.2f}" if s else " – " ok = "OK" if (s1 and s2 and s1['oR'] > 0 and s2['oR'] > 0 and s1['pf'] > 1 and s2['pf'] > 1) else "" print(f" N={N:>2} X={X:.1f} | {f(s1):>22} | {f(s2):>22} {ok}") print(f"\n Automatisieren nur bei ØR>0 & PF>1 in BEIDEN Hälften (Squeeze-Maßstab +0,14…+0,23).") if __name__ == "__main__": main()