Headless FastAPI-Backend (server.py + core/engine.py) mit Mobile-PWA (web/), Strategie-/Backtest-Suite und Doku. Secrets, DB, Logs und Laufzeit-State sind via .gitignore ausgeschlossen; Config-Vorlage: oil_widget_config.ini.example. Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>
104 lines
4.8 KiB
Python
104 lines
4.8 KiB
Python
#!/usr/bin/env python3
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"""Soll der REVERSAL-Einstieg vom Dead-Hour-Gate (11-14 Berlin) ausgenommen werden?
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Misst Reversal (überdehnt+Winkel gedreht) UND normalen Trend-Einstieg je in/außerhalb
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der Dead-Hour, mit echter Exit-Sim (SL 2×ATR + Trailing-TP). Broker-Zeit (UTC+3) →
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Berlin via zoneinfo.
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Wenn Reversal in der Dead-Hour weiter positiv ist (≈ wie außerhalb), lohnt die Ausnahme;
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wenn der Trend-Einstieg in der Dead-Hour negativ bleibt, bleibt das Gate für ihn richtig.
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"""
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import sys, datetime as dt
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from zoneinfo import ZoneInfo
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import MetaTrader5 as mt5
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from core.analysis import calc_trend_angle
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from core.wave_rec import (_atr, _EMA_FAST, _EMA_SLOW, _N_BARS, _ANGLE_LR, _ANGLE_DEAD,
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_REVERSAL_STRETCH, _STRETCH_MAX, _DEAD_HOURS)
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_MAXH=240; _TRAILON=0.3; _TPTRAIL=0.5; _ATRMIN=0.12; _SL_ATR=2.0
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_BROKER_OFF=3*3600 # Broker = UTC+3
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_BERLIN=ZoneInfo("Europe/Berlin")
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def _ema_series(v,p):
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k=2.0/(p+1); o=[]; e=v[0]
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for i,x in enumerate(v): e=x if i==0 else x*k+e*(1-k); o.append(e)
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return o
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def _atr_series(H,L,C,p=14):
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t=[0.0]
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for i in range(1,len(C)): t.append(max(H[i]-L[i],abs(H[i]-C[i-1]),abs(L[i]-C[i-1])))
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return [(sum(t[max(1,i-p+1):i+1])/max(1,len(t[max(1,i-p+1):i+1]))) if i else None for i in range(len(C))]
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def simulate(entry,d,atr,sl,H,L,C,j0):
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eff=sl; hw=entry; trail=False
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end=min(j0+_MAXH,len(C)-1); exit_px=C[end]
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for j in range(j0,end+1):
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hi,lo=H[j],L[j]
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if (lo<=eff) if d>0 else (hi>=eff): return (eff-entry)*d/atr
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hw=max(hw,hi) if d>0 else min(hw,lo)
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if (C[j]-entry)*d>=_TRAILON*atr: trail=True
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if trail:
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lock=hw-d*_TPTRAIL*atr
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eff=max(eff,lock) if d>0 else min(eff,lock)
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return (exit_px-entry)*d/atr
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def stats(Rs):
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if not Rs: return " -"
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n=len(Rs); w=sum(1 for r in Rs if r>0)
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g=sum(r for r in Rs if r>0); ls=-sum(r for r in Rs if r<0)
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pf=g/ls if ls>0 else 99.9
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return f"n={n:>4} WR={100*w/n:>3.0f}% Ø-R={sum(Rs)/n:+.3f} PF={pf:>4.2f} ΣR={sum(Rs):+.0f}"
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def berlin_hour(raw_time):
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utc=int(raw_time)-_BROKER_OFF
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return dt.datetime.fromtimestamp(utc, tz=dt.timezone.utc).astimezone(_BERLIN).hour
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def main():
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n=int(sys.argv[1]) if len(sys.argv)>1 else 40000
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TH=_REVERSAL_STRETCH
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mt5.initialize()
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sym=None
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for c in ("SpotCrude","USOIL","WTI","XTIUSD"):
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if mt5.symbol_info(c): sym=c; break
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bars=mt5.copy_rates_from_pos(sym,mt5.TIMEFRAME_M5,0,n+_N_BARS+_MAXH+5)
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mt5.shutdown()
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H=[float(b["high"]) for b in bars]; L=[float(b["low"]) for b in bars]
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C=[float(b["close"]) for b in bars]; T=[int(b["time"]) for b in bars]
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EF=_ema_series(C,_EMA_FAST); ES=_ema_series(C,_EMA_SLOW); AT=_atr_series(H,L,C)
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print("="*90)
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print(f" Dead-Hour-Ausnahme für Reversal? — {sym} M5 Exit: SL {_SL_ATR}×ATR + Trailing")
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print(f" Dead-Hours={_DEAD_HOURS} (Berlin) · Reversal-Schwelle TH={TH} · Trend nur |stretch|<{_STRETCH_MAX}")
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print("="*90)
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B={k:[] for k in ("rev_L_dead","rev_L_ok","rev_S_dead","rev_S_ok",
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"rev_dead","rev_ok","trend_dead","trend_ok")}
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for i in range(_N_BARS, len(C)-_MAXH-1):
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atr=AT[i]
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if not atr or atr<=0: continue
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atr=max(atr,_ATRMIN); es=ES[i]; ef=EF[i]
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stretch=(C[i]-es)/atr
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ang=calc_trend_angle(C[i-_ANGLE_LR-2:i],_ANGLE_LR); ad=ang-90.0
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dead = berlin_hour(T[i]) in _DEAD_HOURS
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# Reversal
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for d,cs,ca,lab in ((1, stretch<=-TH, ad>=_ANGLE_DEAD,"L"),
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(-1, stretch>=TH, ad<=-_ANGLE_DEAD,"S")):
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if cs and ca:
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R=simulate(C[i],d,atr,C[i]-d*_SL_ATR*atr,H,L,C,i+1)
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B[f"rev_{lab}_{'dead' if dead else 'ok'}"].append(R)
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B[f"rev_{'dead' if dead else 'ok'}"].append(R)
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# Trend-Einstieg (EMA-Richtung, NICHT überdehnt) — das, was das Gate blockt
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if abs(stretch)<_STRETCH_MAX:
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d = 1 if ef>es else -1 if ef<es else 0
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if d:
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R=simulate(C[i],d,atr,C[i]-d*_SL_ATR*atr,H,L,C,i+1)
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B[f"trend_{'dead' if dead else 'ok'}"].append(R)
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print("\nREVERSAL gesamt:")
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print(f" außerhalb Dead-Hour {stats(B['rev_ok'])}")
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print(f" IN Dead-Hour {stats(B['rev_dead'])} ← Kandidat für Ausnahme")
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print("\nReversal-LONG (der Fall aus Trade ①):")
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print(f" außerhalb Dead-Hour {stats(B['rev_L_ok'])}")
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print(f" IN Dead-Hour {stats(B['rev_L_dead'])}")
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print("\nReversal-SHORT:")
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print(f" außerhalb Dead-Hour {stats(B['rev_S_ok'])}")
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print(f" IN Dead-Hour {stats(B['rev_S_dead'])}")
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print("\nNormaler TREND-Einstieg (das, was das Gate zu Recht blockt?):")
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print(f" außerhalb Dead-Hour {stats(B['trend_ok'])}")
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print(f" IN Dead-Hour {stats(B['trend_dead'])}")
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if __name__=="__main__":
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main()
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